{"id":32851,"date":"2026-07-15T16:43:00","date_gmt":"2026-07-15T14:43:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.irpet.it\/positive-effects-of-his-and-her-income-on-first-births-couple-level-evidence-from-longitudinal-tax-data-in-italy\/"},"modified":"2026-09-03T17:30:22","modified_gmt":"2026-09-03T15:30:22","slug":"positive-effects-of-his-and-her-income-on-first-births-couple-level-evidence-from-longitudinal-tax-data-in-italy","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.irpet.it\/en\/positive-effects-of-his-and-her-income-on-first-births-couple-level-evidence-from-longitudinal-tax-data-in-italy\/","title":{"rendered":"Positive effects of his and her income on first births: couple-level evidence from longitudinal tax data in Italy\u00a0"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><em><a href=\"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1093\/esr\/jcag021\">European Sociological Review<\/a><\/em>, 15 July 2026<\/p>\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><a href=\"javascript:;\">Carlos J Gil-Hern\u00e1ndez<\/a>,\u00a0<a href=\"javascript:;\">Daniele Vignoli<\/a>,\u00a0<a href=\"javascript:;\">Raffaele Guetto<\/a>,\u00a0<a href=\"javascript:;\">Maria Luisa Maitino<\/a>,\u00a0<a href=\"javascript:;\">Letizia Ravagli<\/a><\/p>\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">This study adopts a couple-level approach to assess whether higher-income women (men) experience lower (higher) fertility due to opportunity costs and conventional gender norms or whether income pooling within couples facilitates parenthood. We test the well-established gendered relationship between income and fertility in Italy, a country historically known for its division of family roles along traditional gender lines. Utilizing longitudinal tax data (2003\u20132022;\u00a0<em>n<\/em>\u00a0= 8,039,372 person-years) from Tuscany\u2014a region representing Italian-average levels of economic development and gender equality\u2014we apply discrete-time event-history analyses. Results show that higher income for both men and women increases the likelihood of the first birth. Married couples in which both partners are high earners (low earners) are the most (least) likely to become parents, while hypergamous\/hypogamous couples lie in between. These findings challenge traditional sex-specialization models and support the view that couples\u2019 income pooling is a key factor for parenthood, which might compensate for weak public policies through private outsourcing. The positive income\u2013fertility association grew slightly stronger in the late 2010s, suggesting rising economic prerequisites to union formation and parenthood. Overall, the findings highlight the economic stratification of parenthood in a context of high childlessness and rising costs of having a child.<\/p>\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><a href=\"https:\/\/academic.oup.com\/esr\/advance-article\/doi\/10.1093\/esr\/jcag021\/8734894\">Read the Article<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Article on European Sociological Review edited by C. J. Gil-Hern\u00e1ndez, D. Vignoli, R. Guetto, M. L. Maitino, L. Ravagli<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":5,"featured_media":32467,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1033],"tags":[1784,1555,1554,1783],"staff":[960,966],"temi-pubblicazioni":[],"class_list":["post-32851","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-articoli-e-riviste-scientifiche","tag-first-birth","tag-income-en","tag-italy-en","tag-tax","staff-maria-luisa-maitino","staff-ravagli-letizia-en"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.8 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Positive effects of his and her income on first births: couple-level evidence from longitudinal tax data in Italy\u00a0 - Irpet<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"European Sociological Review, 15 July 2026\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.irpet.it\/en\/positive-effects-of-his-and-her-income-on-first-births-couple-level-evidence-from-longitudinal-tax-data-in-italy\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Positive effects of his and her income on first births: couple-level evidence from longitudinal tax data in Italy\u00a0 - 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